Unless America shapes up, in theory, China could, in the future, take over both Japan & Taiwan to control certain key industries and the Pacific.
Media has reported about a covert meeting between Rahul Gandhi and the American administration & speculation thereof i.e., America desiring a regime change in India.
However, realpolitik will ensure that America be forced to prefer even a non-acquiescent & in fact, an inconvenient Modi's Bhartiya Janta Party led government over Rahul Gandhi's Congress Party.
Culturally, the Congress Party doesn't have the mindset nor the heartbeat to take on China, even if the situation demands it. The Doklam incident is screaming aloud, one where Rahul Gandhi was exposed secretly meeting with the Chinese ambassador in the midst of both the Indian & Chinese armies in an aggression mode.
Then came out the secret MOU agreement between the Congress Party & the Chinese Communist Party as testimony of an unholy bonhomie among both.
That Congress' pro-China view got further cemented & in fact, certified, when senior Congress leader Adhir Ranjan Chowdhury had asked the PM to accord to Taiwan the diplomatic recognition it deserves.
One would’ve thought that Mr Chowdhury’s plea was designed to add to the anti-China rhetoric to align with the nation’s mood after the Wuhan leaked virus that caused a global pandemic, unbelievable lockdowns and disruptions thereof.
Well, his statement would’ve surely rubbed China the wrong way, but instead, it seemed to have caused an instant discomfiture to his own party.
Congress was quick to dissociate itself & stated “That may be Mr. Chowdhury’s personal views. The Congress recognizes the special partnership between China & India”!
Coming back, the Americans need a long-term & strategic leader-partner in India to stand up to China.
That keeps China as much distracted, as China wants India to remain focused on arming itself, keeping funds away from infrastructure & governance.
Notwithstanding, India not playing ball on Russia-Ukraine conflict & in fact, refusing American offer to join NATO, India has indeed & still become indispensable for the West.
The American president's geopolitical part of the job is becoming extremely difficult & can do with all the assistance.
They desperately need a bright young White Obama from the Republican party to stir the country away from where it is currently headed. Historically, the Republicans have shown a better understanding of India's concerns, which converge with the American worries wrt both China & Islamic terror.
America seriously needs to assert calm.
It needs to move away from active wars & think out of the box by reframing a more accommodative worldview.
Without the baggage of the NATO template, it must work with India to develop future ready technologies and use the Indian influence to save face & be friends with Russia inorder to conserve its energy, including jointly strategize to contain a more belligerent China of the future.
Russia is anyway getting old & in a few years time, will find it very difficult to man the massive land mass it owns.
Like India (& almost all of China's neighbors), Russia too has its' own contentious border issues with China & so will be happy to switch sides in exchange of solemn promise of no NATO expansion along its borders.
NATO is anyway a Cold War relic, kept alive by the Americans beyond its use-by date.
All this should be done by America without any feelings of being the senior partner to India or offering any unsolicited advise in public, for that would achieve the exact opposite of the intent.
There's wisdom for America in the ancient adage - it is better to bend than to break !
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