It is said that - 'If
there is anything ever true about India, its opposite is also true'. Thus,
India with it's vagaries and complexities & over the years
bloated bureaucracy, is a very difficult country to govern. Yet within
just 18 months under Narendra Modi, things have changed for the better.
India is supposed to be a
thriving democracy & yet like in a monarchy, most
of the political parties that operate here are like family owned
private limited enterprises. On assuming power, one of the 1st thing
that Mr. Modi had done or rather undone was, he disallowed for more than
one family member from holding a position of power in his government.
Before I give my
assessment on Mr. Modi, it would be appropriate for me to tell you a bit
on the kind of world that we live in.
The 5 things that are
undoing the global order & society at large are:
1) De-globalization i.e. due
to the global recession, once again the self-centric trade agreements,
imposition of non-tariff barriers and political &
ideological alignments among nations is undermining institutions like
WTO, UN & even the relatively newly formed G20.
2) Partisan
political stalemate & acrimony is preventing even basic progress in
many Democratic nations.
3) Innovation in finance
& monetary policy like Quantitative Easing in developed nations &
artificially kept low interest rates, brings with it an expected long term
volatility in the markets.
4) China is slowly becoming
a leader with no followers, rise of the ISIS brand of terrorism & it's
asymmetrical ways of war and the American political fatigue gives no real
direction to the community of nations.
5) Last & the loudest -
aggressive media, including social media today allows fastest distribution of
misinformation & wrong influence and so compounds some of
the above issues even more. Media, supposedly the 4th pillar of
Democracy is severely compromised. Today it no longer reports, it takes
sides. Let us understand this, it has transmuted into a profit making business,
hence doesn’t deserve nobility. The "No news is good news" axiom was
never more appropriate, than now.
Now coming back to Mr.
Modi, for his supporters,
I think - Mr.
Modi is more of a metaphor for 'change' than a person.
As a student of leaders, I
can say with conviction that Mr. Modi has made himself the
national agenda, an entire government has been personified
& rechristened after him i.e. now dubbed as Modi Sarkar. He
still attracts the Indian diaspora crowds in different corners of the
world, inspiring & energizing them to not only receive him with an
unprecedented pomp & also spontaneously erupting into a
‘Modi-Modi’ chant in chorus.
All this, even when he
belongs to the "lowest pedigree" i.e. is a politician vs. being a
star in the field of sports, cinema or music. Mr. Modi is a rock
star !
Suddenly India has arrived on the world stage & now every world leader is found to be accommodating to Mr. Modi's agenda !
His rise is half the
story, where he started from, gives the true picture & I am not even
talking of the fact that he is the son of road-side tea seller.
His vilification by
the Indian media, including by reputed international &
otherwise sanguine sounding magazines like The Economist, who did not
endorse him - had an unprecedented impact. They painted Mr. Modi
as an Islamophobic individual & that even influenced the
mighty America - who wrongly banned an elected representative, untried in any
court, the Chief Minister of an important state of India from entering into America
( for the record, Mr. Modi is now found cent percent innocent ). The national
& regional parties that were traditionally opposed to each other, had
singled him out & had launched a united front against this man.
Today the Modi-man is on the
top of the world & screaming - Bharat Mata Ki Jai.
As if being led by the
conductor of an orchestra - the rating agencies, the IMF & World
Bank are all echoing his words in unison. They are viewing India
as an upward moving nation. Obama penned a note on the Modi-man, in the world
famous TIME magazine.
Till 2008, 114 nations were
growing at a rate of 5% plus, today less than a one handful are. With
such strong head winds, India turning around as a country with the highest
large-nation growth rate, is a miracle in itself.
GDP growth which was
retarding for last 5 years & is now moving in the opposite direction -
inflation is tamed, including on non-oil dependent items; fiscal deficit is
brought under control; forex reserves have risen to an all time
high & balance of payment situation is comfortable; unlike most
currencies that have tumbled against the American dollar, the Indian rupee has
relatively held ground; natural assets are being sold through
auction in the most transparent manner & are fetching higher than
expected revenue; there is direct transfer of cash to the account of the
qualified poor; e-Governance is finally taking shape to reduce procedures,
hurdles & middle men; and among other things, corruption as a national
menace, has been dealt with a severe blow !
There is an expectation from
the Modi-fied government & managing that can be a deemed
'problem of the plenty'. However, contrast that with the fact that, till recently,
most felt that they must attempt to grow in spite of & not because of the
government.
It is sad that the media
is focusing more of what is yet to be done, rather than the
wonderful work in progress. The focus of the media is also so naive.
Are the foreign trips'
duration important or what he achieved in those trips more
important? Besides huge FDI investment line up, MOUs for unfettered
uranium supply, technology to make fighter planes & nuclear reactor in
India are just some of the achievements that Mr. Modi made. In fact,
he has done more than what any expert commentator had predicted
before the trip & still remains absolutely unpredictable - his suddenly
landing in Pakistan to wish the PM there on his birthday, being the latest
coup.
The media accuses Mr. Modi
of being a one-man-band who chokes his ministers. In the UPAs scam era, we had
so many self-appointed PMs that called their own shots in contempt of the PMO
and the real PM himself was one remote controlled mute spectator. Now when
I listen to the likes of say, Rajnath Singh, Arun Jaitley, Suresh Prabhu,
Venkaiah Naidu, Piyush Goyal, Smriti Irani, Ravi Shankar Prasad, etc,
they talk of Mr. Modi with so much reverence - I wonder on the media's
motive.
While business balance
sheets were already too stressed from past era's permission pains
& delays & so many projects are stalled. Banks are
not in a position to lend them more due to past defaults. Here too, the
government is trying to resolve the issues. Mr. Modi's handicap is that he does
not have the numbers in the Rajya Sabha to pass bills & Congress has fallen
so low, that it has nothing to lose. It has coalesced with former enemies to
block the most essential GST & Land Acquisition bills, both required for
new jobs to go on the ground & foreign investments to go off the
ground. The same too shall be resolved as such unity among opposition members
for a poor cause seldom lasts.
Finally, contrary to
the RaGa-baba's claim & backed by media created perception that
it's a "suit boot ki sarkar"; the cash rich business houses, are
learning to go through the slow but sure due diligence process by this regime,
as under table "speed money" is becoming worthless.
Have faith, be patient -
India under Mr. Modi will do you proud. Not one or two years, Modi
Sarkar is working for the next decade.
BTW, not withstanding the
media's adulterated agenda, Mr. Modi is still among the most popular world
leaders and according to a recent survey, he enjoys over 70 % popular
rating within India.
Bolo Bharat Mata Ki Jai
Indeed !
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